"Guitar makers to run out of wood in 10 years"

[rodmeister]

http://rocknewsdesk.com/world-news/g...10-years/2771/
http://www.allaxess.com/guitar-blog/...wood-shortage/

We won't literally run out of premium woods because prices will rise as shortages develop, but mahogany and rosewood might be priced out of most buyers, and more guitars will be made of cheaper, more abundant woods. Any other consequences you can think of, such as used or vintage guitar prices increasing and more composite materials?

[ewalling]

Well, I just picked up a great Glenn Campbell Reissue Ovation with the lyrachord bowl. I think we'll always have some excellent-sounding guitars, even if they're not built with traditional materials.

[BluesBelly]

Necessity is the mother of invention............at some point someone will come up with a concept that will blow current technology out if the water. Our beloved traditional instruments will remain just that but the new wave of instruments will be an undeniable step forward in sound dynamics and design. It is happening in all other areas and music will not be immune. Cell phones are a good example as well as Ovation guitars and the composite materials that are appearing in graphite and similar guitars.

Blues

[Tim McKnight]

I won't run out because I have enough wood stashed for about 2.5 lifetimes

[tart]

Originally Posted by Tim McKnight

I won't run out because I have enough wood stashed for about 2.5 lifetimes

Is that your plan to corner the guitar building market?!!

[Brazad]

Did anyone else notice this brilliant statement in this article?

"Mahogany provides a rich, dark sound, while rosewood creates a bright, brilliant tone."

Ummm, ya think there might be a mix-up there???

Gary

[AndyFrank]

Originally Posted by Brazad

Did anyone else notice this brilliant statement in this article?

"Mahogany provides a rich, dark sound, while rosewood creates a bright, brilliant tone."

Ummm, ya think there might be a mix-up there???

Gary

Reminds me of the talking heads on TV.

[magazine]

i bet we will have to turn in our old guitar and reuse the wood, lol

[dirkronk]

Originally Posted by magazine

i bet we will have to turn in our old guitar and reuse the wood, lol

Wonder if I should have the Brazilian rosewood body of my old Hofner 1967 classical re-set with a reinforced neck to create an 0 (or would it be 00?) steel string blues guitar. Hmm...

Dirk

[hflsmg17317]

So... say i bought a rosewood guitar... Could i sell it and make a profit someday?

And it may be about time that some other woods get brought into the game. Rosewood and Mahogany are the only woods i hear anyone talk about (at least for back and side woods). I think ovangkol, and some other less known woods sound just as good if not better.

[harvl]

Like Tim I have WHD and probably enough for at least 3 lifetimes... and I can't seem to stop acquiring more and more...

Harv

[gitnoob]

Perhaps you guys with 3 lifetimes worth of wood could share it with us have-nots.

[BusterBFan]

I have no idea about the existing supply of rare hardwoods, but I know a guy who used to be a big time gun nut, including NFA/Title 2 stuff (ie- registered and lawfully owned machine guns), which is a pretty comparable thing in terms of supply ratios.

The short of it is in 1986, the Federal government created a moratorium on civilian transferable machineguns, much like there's a moratorium on the importation of certain woods. You could keep the ones that you had and transfer them (pursuant to the tight regulations in place for that sort of thing), but no more new ones could enter the system.

Up into the mid 1990's, people said there wasn't much to worry about, certain manufacturers had "warehouses full" of grandfathered units... and everyone ticked along happy, until one day, there was no longer a central source for them and everyone was liable to the aftermarket. From that point forward, the prices started to gain 50% a year and did so for quite some time until they finally stabilized in the mid-late 00's... But $2500 units in 1994 are now $15,000 units.

Another example is Cab Medallions. In Chicago and NYC, the price of a grandfathered Cab Medallion runs into the hundreds of thousands of dollars, to the point that investors now buy them as an alternative asset class. Commercial Crabbing Licenses in Florida and Maryland have the same phenomenon going for them.

Once the government fixes a supply of something desirable, it's a certainty that in time, as stocks deplete, values will rise.
Once commercial stocks are completely gone and the market revolves around whatever people are digging out of grandpas closet, the prices can get outright stupid.

[247hoopsfan]

I have 3 nice cedar trees on my property that would make some really nice tops. Maybe that can be my retirement income......

[sully151]

I am going t use this to my advantage...

"but honey, I need this HD28V. The wood won't be around much longer."